Climate: IMD Forecasts Below-Average Monsoon Rains for 2026, Raising El Niño Concerns
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast below-average monsoon rainfall for 2026, estimating precipitation at 92% of the long-period average, raising fresh concerns over the likely emergence of El Niño conditions. The prediction has sparked worries for India’s agriculture sector, water resources, and rural economy, as weaker monsoon rains could impact crop yields, food prices, and inflation. Experts warn that an El Niño-driven dry spell may further intensify climate uncertainty and economic pressure in the coming months.